BUYYESPause–Pause–Pause · 28.5¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Open market trace →$1.8K← Back to traders
DancewithRiskmarket maker
0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b
DancewithRisk (0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b) Polymarket wallet: +$24K PnL · $1.5M volume · 79% win rate. Whale trades · updated 2026-08-01 on PolyTrace.
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Lifetime PnL+$24K
Win rate78.5%121 settled positions, last 180 days
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · via Polymarket
Realized PnL+$23.6Kopen PnL +$397
Markets traded227lifetime
PolyTrace Score79 / 100
Profitability59weight 35%
Skill86weight 30%
Breadth87weight 20%
Recency100weight 15%
Decision summary
Profitable.
Lifetime PnL is +$24K and 78.5% of 121 positions settled in profit over the last 180 days.
Whale activity · 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1,000. Empty days keep their space so activity does not jump.
Open positions
Visible whale-sized legs (≥$1k, 90d) on open markets — sizes are floors, not the wallet's whole book.
No visible open positions — exited, resolved, or entered below the whale threshold.
Recent capital traces
What this wallet did, with direction and market context kept together.
BUYNOOther · 35.1¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Open market trace →$2KBUYYESNo change · 44¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Open market trace →$2.2KBUYNOSeptember Meeting · 46¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Open market trace →$1.1KSELLNOSeptember Meeting · 45¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Open market trace →$1.4KSELLNONo · 37¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Open market trace →$6.7KBUYNOOther · 25¢
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Open market trace →$1.4KSELLNOOther · 28.1¢
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Open market trace →$1KBUYNONo · 22¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Open market trace →$4.6KSELLNOOther · 36.2¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Open market trace →$2.6KSELLYESPause–Pause–Pause · 28.5¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Open market trace →$3KSELLNO↑ 3.5T yuan · 99.9¢
Cxmt Ipo Closing Market Cap Above 20260722211138916Open market trace →$1.3KSELLYESOctober Meeting · 67¢
Fed rate hike by...?Open market trace →$1.7KSELLNO↑ 3T yuan · 66¢
Cxmt Ipo Closing Market Cap Above 20260722211138916Open market trace →$1.2KSELLNOSeptember Meeting · 40¢
Fed rate hike by...?Open market trace →$1.8KBUYYESPause–Pause–Pause · 26¢
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Open market trace →$2.1KSELLYESPause–Pause–Pause · 39¢
Fed Decisions Jun SepOpen market trace →$1.1KSELLYESYes · 69¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Open market trace →$1.7KSELLNOSeptember Meeting · 39¢
Fed rate hike by...?Open market trace →$5.5KBUYNOSeptember Meeting · 40¢
Fed rate hike by...?Open market trace →$1.1KProfile last updated 16h ago.