PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb039…c6d9

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$362Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 82% underwater · 44 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded480Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.6% / $95% interval −286.6% to +261.4%55 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.3%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete44 minutes ago
Current position value
$998
Snapshot cash PnL
−$67.8K
Concentration
39.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
185
Showing the largest 8 of 185
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
DN SOOPers Challengers · YesValue$394PnL+$92Avg76.5¢Current100¢393.97Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
Bilibili Gaming Junior · NoValue$360PnL+$158Avg56.2¢Current100¢359.8Shares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Paper Rex · NoValue$244PnL+$8Avg73.4¢Current76¢320.84Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · YesValue$0.89PnL−$1.2KAvg66.7¢Current0.1¢1,778.21Shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$148Avg48.3¢Current0¢306.75Shares
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner
Eintracht Frankfurt · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg35¢Current0¢286Shares
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner
Solary · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg81.6¢Current0¢1,969.01Shares
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner
TLN PiratesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg69.4¢Current0¢2,408.6Shares
Showing 8 of 185 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb039d14a66d31e0a46c6965acf9895fcdbc9c6d9: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −12.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −286.6%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.3% over 52 fills); −$362 lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.