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Trader profile

hopefullynoloost

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateOnly 9 settled so far0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$163.8K81 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded9Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.4% / $95% interval −391.7% to +370.9%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−10.4%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
1
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg36.7¢Current4,149.84Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hopefullynoloost: edge −10.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −391.7%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−10.4% over 23 fills); +$7.8K lifetime P&L, $163.8K traded, updated 2026-09-21.