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Trader profile

fed26

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$150.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet8 open · 2% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded34Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$260K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$145.3K
Concentration
96.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$251.2KPnL+$147.4KAvg39.5¢Current95.7¢262,621.26Shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$1.9KAvg38.7¢Current96.2¢3,384.11Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg49.9¢Current96.2¢2,352.26Shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$146Avg1.4¢Current1.6¢105,063.61Shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$1.5KAvg0.9¢Current0.5¢340,982.11Shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
YesValue$97PnL−$1KAvg40.4¢Current3.5¢2,780.46Shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YesValue$19PnL+$12Avg7.9¢Current19.5¢99.47Shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NoValue$2PnL+$0.34Avg82.8¢Current99.6¢2Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet fed26: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$150.9K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-20.