PolyTrace
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Trader profile

rplt-fb

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47%777 settled · past 180 days20 open · 56% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$458K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,113Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−31.1% / $95% interval −67.1% to +5.0%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−31.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47% · Decided 777 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$443
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.2K
Concentration
21%
Largest share of value
Positions
393
Showing the largest 8 of 393
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$93PnL−$7Avg67.6¢Current63¢148.08Shares
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YesValue$53PnL+$17Avg35.8¢Current53¢99.71Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
NoValue$47PnL−$11Avg61¢Current49.5¢94.48Shares
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
YesValue$32PnL+$0.50Avg31¢Current31.5¢100Shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$31PnL−$0.02Avg98¢Current98¢31.9Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$31PnL+$0.05Avg97¢Current97.2¢31.9Shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$31PnL−$0.32Avg97.8¢Current96.8¢31.89Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$26PnL+$3Avg73.9¢Current84.3¢30.64Shares
Showing 8 of 393 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rplt-fb: 47% win rate over 777 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −31.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −67.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−31.1% over 10 fills); −$9K lifetime P&L, $458K traded, updated 2026-09-20.