PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xae82…faf0

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$38.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.1%760 settled · past 180 days3 open · 0% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded871Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.8% / $95% interval −19.6% to +35.3%43 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+7.8%n=43 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.1% · Decided 760 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$2.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$402K
Concentration
65.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
392
Showing the largest 8 of 392
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$1.9KPnL+$60Avg45¢Current46.5¢4,000Shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates · NoValue$555PnL+$15Avg54¢Current55.5¢999.99Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
Under · NoValue$429PnL+$41Avg52¢Current57.5¢745.7Shares
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5
OverValue$0PnL−$795Avg53¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Peter Bertran
Peter Bertran · NoValue$0PnL−$266Avg51.5¢Current0¢517.32Shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg33¢Current0¢8,000Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$84Avg28.1¢Current0¢300Shares
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$222Avg62.7¢Current0¢353.68Shares
Showing 8 of 392 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xae825b67fac24b92f328f25b5d2530567605faf0: 49.1% win rate over 760 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −19.6%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+7.8% over 43 fills); +$38.9K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.