PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xae6d…ded2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$30.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price42 open · 0% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,114Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.2% / $95% interval −33.7% to +29.2%113 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−2.2%n=113 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$16.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$8
Concentration
6.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?
NoValue$1KPnL+$0.50Avg99.9¢Current100¢1,001Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xae6d1b5181d17157c6111fc574a3ff6b1a45ded2: edge −2.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.7%, n=113 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−2.2% over 113 fills); −$30.7K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.