PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xae6a…de5e

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.8%1,034 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$311K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,151Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.4% / $95% interval −230.8% to +222.0%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.4%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.8% · Decided 1,034 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
122
Showing the largest 8 of 122
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg24¢Current0¢416.67Shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg63.5¢Current0¢629.43Shares
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez
Sebastian Baez · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg42.7¢Current0¢2,343.13Shares
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malygina
Elena Malygina · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg12.2¢Current0¢81.92Shares
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Kaitlin Quevedo · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢839.29Shares
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg59¢Current0¢338.98Shares
National Bank Open: Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic
Alexandra Eala · YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢189.8Shares
Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego
Adrian Mannarino · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg14¢Current0¢2,142.86Shares
Showing 8 of 122 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xae6a988d525d2d8b2e07d723cca3a8cfe6cbde5e: 56.8% win rate over 1,034 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −230.8%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.4% over 11 fills); +$1.6K lifetime P&L, $311K traded, updated 2026-09-24.