Trader profile

0xae68…7f0c

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-20

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$9.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 4 days ago

Lifetime volume$267.7K896 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded245Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

+16.5% / $95% interval −379.5% to +412.4%22 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: +16.5%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded4 days ago

Current position value: $20
Snapshot cash PnL: −$16.1K
Concentration: 100%
Positions: 69

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

ITF Knokke-Heist: Francesca Pace vs Mona Barthel

Mona Barthel · NoValue$20PnL−$0.39Avg51¢Current50¢39.22Shares

Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva

Alina Charaeva · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg38¢Current0¢26.32Shares

Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin

Tom Gentzsch · YesValue$0PnL−$479Avg77.1¢Current0¢620.81Shares

Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Sinja Kraus

Julia Grabher · YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg14¢Current0¢142.86Shares

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Dimitar Kisimov

Dimitar Kisimov · NoValue$0PnL−$36Avg31¢Current0¢116.21Shares

Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Henri Squire · YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg17¢Current0¢117.65Shares

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

YesValue$0PnL−$66Avg30¢Current0¢219.25Shares

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti

Aleksandar Vukic · YesValue$0PnL−$0.15Avg40¢Current0¢0.37Shares

Showing 8 of 69 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 months ago

SELLNO

59¢

San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo VarillasOpen market →$1.8K

2 months ago

BUYYES

Francesco Maestrelli · 41¢

San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo VarillasOpen market →$1.5K

2 months ago

BUYNO

91¢

Vancouver: Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya SawangkaewOpen market →$1.4K

2 months ago

SELLYES

99¢

Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Michael MmohOpen market →$1.7K

2 months ago

BUYYES

91¢

Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Michael MmohOpen market →$1.3K

About this wallet

Wallet 0xae6823d3acf543e435991fd5a1d628925a847f0c: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +16.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −379.5%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+16.5% over 22 fills); −$9.4K lifetime P&L, $267.7K traded, updated 2026-09-20.