PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Cantoso

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$88.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.3%67 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded976Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.8% / $95% interval −347.1% to +315.5%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.8%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.3% · Decided 67 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$137K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
239
Showing the largest 8 of 239
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek
Deniz Dilek · NoValue$1.2KPnL+$684Avg42.2¢Current100¢1,184.34Shares
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)
AltmaierValue$0PnL−$403Avg24¢Current0¢1,679.17Shares
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
FUT AcademyValue$0PnL−$200Avg45.6¢Current0¢438.86Shares
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko
MbokoValue$0PnL−$527Avg44.7¢Current0¢1,177.82Shares
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)
Parry · NoValue$0PnL−$607Avg51.8¢Current0¢1,171.37Shares
Tunis: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Daniil Glinka
Daniil Glinka · NoValue$0PnL−$24Avg59.4¢Current0¢40.89Shares
International T20 Series: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
ZimbabweValue$0PnL−$500Avg43.5¢Current0¢1,150.3Shares
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)
Oh My God · YesValue$0PnL−$719Avg42¢Current0¢1,711.9Shares
Showing 8 of 239 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Cantoso: 34.3% win rate over 67 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −347.1%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.8% over 14 fills); −$88.1K lifetime P&L, $3.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.