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Trader profile

TB14

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$439.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.8%359 settled · past 90 days7 open · 91% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded848Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.9% / $95% interval −100.4% to +84.7%483 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+1.7%n=13 settled
Sports
−8.0%n=469 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.8% · Decided 359 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$31.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.3K
Concentration
35.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$11.1KPnL−$3KAvg15.9¢Current12.5¢88,649.48Shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$10.2KPnL+$1.1KAvg6.8¢Current7.7¢133,915.78Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$4.7KPnL−$887Avg13.7¢Current11.5¢40,978.4Shares
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$260Avg5¢Current4.5¢52,000Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$4.1KAvg21.6¢Current6.7¢27,323.37Shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$958PnL−$2.3KAvg9.3¢Current2.8¢34,819.89Shares
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$52PnL−$848Avg6.9¢Current0.4¢13,030.91Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 32.5¢
unavailable
$2.5K
BUYYES
Unknown · 17.2¢
unavailable
$1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 34¢
unavailable
$1K

About this wallet

Wallet TB14: 31.8% win rate over 359 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −100.4%, n=483 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.0% over 469 fills); −$439.2K lifetime P&L, $12.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.