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Trader profile

Satil

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$5.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…8 open · 100% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$102.3K229 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded35Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.3% / $95% interval −121.6% to +71.0%14 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−25.3%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$607
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.2K
Concentration
66.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$405PnL−$160Avg5.8¢Current4.2¢9,752.45Shares
YesValue$58PnL$0Avg13¢Current13¢448Shares
NoValue$48PnL−$7Avg13.8¢Current12¢400Shares
NoValue$47PnL−$12Avg4.2¢Current3.4¢1,399.99Shares
YesValue$20PnL−$4AvgCurrent400Shares
NoValue$13PnL−$2Avg14¢Current12.5¢100Shares
NoValue$10PnL−$4Avg13¢Current9.5¢99.99Shares
NoValue$7PnL−$8AvgCurrent2.4¢299.99Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Satil: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −25.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −121.6%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−25.3% over 14 fills); −$5.8K lifetime P&L, $102.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.