PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xade5…0113

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$20.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M107 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded36Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.8% / $95% interval −239.4% to +183.8%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.8%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg0.1¢Current0¢400,000Shares
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Elisha Ellison · NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg12.1¢Current0¢266.45Shares
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska CornhuskersValue$0PnL−$6.4KAvg53.9¢Current0¢11,836.69Shares
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg0.5¢Current0¢3,136Shares
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
LopesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg41.7¢Current0¢11,892.88Shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg59¢Current0¢5,254.24Shares
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Fiziev · YesValue$0PnL−$4.5KAvg54¢Current0¢8,333.33Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$330Avg8¢Current0¢4,125Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xade5c1394b280b236511c6128fcdf58c7d9a0113: edge −27.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −239.4%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.8% over 16 fills); −$20.7K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-21.