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Trader profile

ErnstKuzorra

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate80.8%287 settled · past 180 days17 open · 10% underwater · 4 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded607Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.0% / $95% interval −308.2% to +288.2%24 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 80.8% · Decided 287 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete4 minutes ago
Current position value
$20.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$864
Concentration
14.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$3KPnL−$29Avg96¢Current95.1¢3,130Shares
NoValue$2.4KPnL−$59Avg70.2¢Current68.5¢3,570Shares
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$329Avg76¢Current88.5¢2,629.98Shares
NoValue$2KPnL+$0.01Avg98.1¢Current98.2¢2,000Shares
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$3Avg96¢Current96.2¢2,000Shares
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$80Avg91.5¢Current95.5¢2,000Shares
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$132Avg85.6¢Current96.3¢1,240Shares
NoValue$1KPnL+$42Avg83¢Current86.5¢1,210.01Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ErnstKuzorra: 80.8% win rate over 287 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −308.2%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days); −$6K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.