PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Do-Not-Redeem

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$363.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…11 open · 49% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded544Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.3% / $95% interval −136.7% to +134.1%104 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+8.2%n=73 settled
Politics
−22.1%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$344.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.8K
Concentration
60.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$207.5KPnL+$51.5KAvg50¢Current66.5¢312,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$104.5KPnL−$51.5KAvg50¢Current33.5¢312,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$14.6KPnL+$1.5KAvg55¢Current61.5¢23,697.42Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$862Avg47.4¢Current57.5¢8,517.92Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$605Avg48¢Current58¢6,064.75Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$1KAvg26.4¢Current38.5¢8,346.02Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL−$1.1KAvg40¢Current28.5¢9,338.82Shares
Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala
Tatiana Prozorova · YesValue$2KPnL−$270Avg21¢Current18.5¢10,815.75Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Do-Not-Redeem: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −1.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −136.7%, n=104 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.2% over 73 fills); +$363.8K lifetime P&L, $12.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.