PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Do-Not-Redeem

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$362.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…8 open · 49% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$12.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded542Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.3% / $95% interval −136.7% to +134.1%104 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+8.2%n=73 settled
Politics
−22.1%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$335.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.9K
Concentration
60.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$204.4KPnL+$48.4KAvg50¢Current65.5¢312,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$107.6KPnL−$48.4KAvg50¢Current34.5¢312,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$16.7KPnL+$2KAvg55¢Current62.5¢26,709.83Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$1KAvg26.4¢Current38.5¢8,346.02Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL−$1.3KAvg40¢Current26.5¢9,338.82Shares
Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$106Avg49.9¢Current54.5¢2,289.78Shares
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YesValue$148PnL+$42Avg64.5¢Current90¢164.74Shares
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YesValue$5PnL−$4Avg5.2¢Current3¢165.11Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Do-Not-Redeem: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −1.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −136.7%, n=104 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.2% over 73 fills); +$362.9K lifetime P&L, $12.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.