Trader profile

iraa3

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$6.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…106 open · 64% underwater · 11 hours ago

Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded328Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−15.0% / $95% interval −748.6% to +718.6%11 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded11 hours ago

Current position value: $164.9K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$4.3K
Concentration: 19.6%
Positions: 106

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

NoValue$32.3KPnL+$658Avg94.7¢Current96.7¢33,427.08Shares

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$21.3KPnL+$3KAvg44¢Current51.2¢41,692.16Shares

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

NoValue$9.2KPnL+$58Avg96.2¢Current96.8¢9,536.97Shares

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

NoValue$8.2KPnL−$50Avg95.7¢Current95.2¢8,624.44Shares

Iran Nuke before 2027?

NoValue$8.1KPnL+$54Avg94.9¢Current95.6¢8,522.47Shares

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$6.3KPnL−$7.1KAvg32.5¢Current15.4¢41,274.42Shares

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

NoValue$6.3KPnL+$108Avg96.7¢Current98.4¢6,399.99Shares

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

NoValue$5.9KPnL+$157Avg95.5¢Current98.2¢6,005.78Shares

Showing 8 of 106 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

3 days ago

SELLNO

September 30 · 99.7¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Open market →$1.7K

6 days ago

SELLNO

Christine Drazan (R) · 85¢

Oregon Governor Election WinnerOpen market →$1.2K

6 days ago

BUYNO

Christine Drazan (R) · 87¢

Oregon Governor Election WinnerOpen market →$1.3K

7 days ago

BUYNO

No · 95.8¢

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Open market →$2.4K

7 days ago

BUYNO

No · 95.7¢

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Open market →$2.9K

About this wallet

Wallet iraa3: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −15.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −748.6%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days); +$6.2K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.