PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tryingmyluckhere

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$157.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…50 open · 54% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded555Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−31.4% / $95% interval −265.5% to +202.6%27 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−1.1%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$66K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.1K
Concentration
14.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
125
Showing the largest 8 of 125
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
NoValue$9.7KPnL−$147Avg70.6¢Current69.5¢13,885.88Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
YesValue$8.5KPnL+$3.6KAvg57.5¢Current100¢8,551.79Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$3.4KAvg55¢Current97.7¢8,009.99Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$712Avg72.8¢Current87¢5,026.86Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$1.2KAvg3.2¢Current4.6¢95,212.62Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
YesValue$4KPnL−$490Avg55.6¢Current49.5¢8,000Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
NoValue$3.3KPnL$0Avg66¢Current66¢5,000Shares
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
NoValue$3KPnL+$563Avg51.9¢Current64¢4,650.53Shares
Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tryingmyluckhere: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −31.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −265.5%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−1.1% over 13 fills); +$157.9K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.