PolyTrace
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Trader profile

HerrieDavis

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$376.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.2%6,973 settled · past 90 days971 open · 54% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$33.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,804Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.9% / $95% interval −80.4% to +84.1%155 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+7.3%n=102 settled
Culture
−1.5%n=24 settled
Finance
−11.9%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.2% · Decided 6,973 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded15 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$392.9K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$527.5K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
3.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$15.5KPnL+$6.7KAvg50.7¢Current89.5¢17,319.33Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.4KPnL+$4.1KAvg49.1¢Current70.5¢19,075.9Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$13.1KPnL+$2.3KAvg82.3¢Current99.7¢13,100.14Shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YesValue$9.9KPnL+$1.1KAvg47.9¢Current54¢18,312.5Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$9.7KPnL+$190Avg93.3¢Current95.2¢10,212.4Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$9.5KPnL+$1.1KAvg66.6¢Current75.5¢12,624.57Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
NoValue$9.5KPnL+$420Avg90¢Current94.2¢10,106.81Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$8.9KPnL+$650Avg84.5¢Current91.1¢9,775.61Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HerrieDavis: 31.2% win rate over 6,973 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −80.4%, n=155 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+7.3% over 102 fills); +$376.3K lifetime P&L, $33.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.