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Trader profile

Bigshort69

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$289Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.7%248 settled · past 180 days12 open · 85% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$434.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded682Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.0% / $95% interval −309.1% to +277.2%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.7% · Decided 248 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$511
Concentration
18%
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$237PnL+$28Avg11¢Current12.5¢1,895.68Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$218PnL−$239Avg32.6¢Current15.6¢1,400Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$213PnL−$13Avg9¢Current8.5¢2,500Shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$180PnL−$21Avg3.2¢Current2.9¢6,217.56Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$132PnL+$81Avg6.3¢Current16.5¢800Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$113PnL−$77Avg14.4¢Current8.6¢1,320Shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
YesValue$86PnL−$14Avg55¢Current47.5¢181.82Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$79PnL−$122Avg20¢Current7.9¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bigshort69: 40.7% win rate over 248 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −309.1%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.0% over 20 fills); +$289 lifetime P&L, $434.5K traded, updated 2026-09-20.