PolyTrace
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Trader profile

test100k

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$31.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.3%77 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$802.2K222 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded91Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.0% / $95% interval −354.4% to +360.3%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.0%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.3% · Decided 77 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$104.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royer
Valentin Royer · NoValue$0PnL−$124Avg49¢Current0¢253.06Shares
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick Hanfmann · NoValue$0PnL−$60Avg16¢Current0¢375.44Shares
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
KT RolsterValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg66¢Current0¢2,328.73Shares
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
FURIA · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg34.9¢Current0¢3,487.51Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Weibo Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg63.8¢Current0¢5,231.78Shares
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?
YesValue$0PnL−$267Avg56¢Current0¢476.21Shares
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg34.3¢Current0¢3,430.35Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
JD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg37.6¢Current0¢5,443.12Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet test100k: 53.3% win rate over 77 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +3.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −354.4%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.0% over 24 fills); −$31.2K lifetime P&L, $802.2K traded, updated 2026-09-22.