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Trader profile

Feromont

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.8MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.8%2,607 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$104.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,580Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.0% / $95% interval −17.7% to +5.7%2,007 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−3.1%n=37 settled
Sports
−6.1%n=1,970 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.8% · Decided 2,607 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$6.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$355.5K
Concentration
79.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
448
Showing the largest 8 of 448
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$5.4KPnL−$29Avg44.7¢Current44.5¢12,119.03Shares
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$25Avg29¢Current28.5¢5,000Shares
Plymouth Argyle FCValue$0PnL−$0.64AvgCurrent10.72Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg62¢Current8.56Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg66¢Current46.14Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$8Avg29.9¢Current27.73Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg18¢Current17.83Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg64¢Current7.1Shares
Showing 8 of 448 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Feromont: 48.8% win rate over 2,607 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −17.7%, n=2,007 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.1% over 1,970 fills); −$2.8M lifetime P&L, $104.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.