PolyTrace
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Trader profile

naive-child

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$22.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.9%460 settled · past 90 days6 open · 100% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$732.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded897Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+20.2% / $95% interval −34.2% to +74.5%44 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+26.6%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.9% · Decided 460 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$224
Snapshot cash PnL
−$152.4K
Concentration
27.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
525
Showing the largest 8 of 525
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$61PnL−$13Avg61¢Current50.5¢121Shares
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A
Bounty Hunters EsportsValue$55PnL−$3Avg63.3¢Current59.5¢92.56Shares
Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
magicValue$48PnL−$2Avg71.4¢Current68.5¢70.61Shares
LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 2 Winner
9z Globant · NoValue$23PnL−$6Avg10.5¢Current8.5¢270Shares
LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner
9z Globant · NoValue$19PnL−$10Avg10.5¢Current6.9¢270.37Shares
LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 3 Winner
9z Globant · NoValue$18PnL−$11Avg10.4¢Current6.5¢272.38Shares
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
QUAZARValue$0PnL−$391Avg31.4¢Current0¢1,247.24Shares
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
ENCE · NoValue$0PnL−$317Avg47.4¢Current0¢669.02Shares
Showing 8 of 525 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet naive-child: 35.9% win rate over 460 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +20.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.2%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+26.6% over 41 fills); −$22.1K lifetime P&L, $732.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.