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Trader profile

erw322

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate67.7%155 settled · past 180 days0 open · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$720.9K518 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded323Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.1% / $95% interval −475.5% to +455.3%36 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.4%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 67.7% · Decided 155 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$110.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
164
Showing the largest 8 of 164
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$394Avg39¢Current0¢1,010.28Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg54.6¢Current0¢2,381.52Shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Team Spirit · YesValue$0PnL−$190Avg41¢Current0¢463.41Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$985Avg56.8¢Current0¢1,734.3Shares
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Eternal Fire · NoValue$0PnL−$571Avg56.3¢Current0¢1,014.56Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$90Avg48.3¢Current0¢186.19Shares
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Team Nemesis · YesValue$0PnL−$280Avg31¢Current0¢903.23Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg31.3¢Current0¢3,468Shares
Showing 8 of 164 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet erw322: 67.7% win rate over 155 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −475.5%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.4% over 32 fills); +$2.5K lifetime P&L, $720.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.