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Trader profile

wrongandstupid

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$887Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet9 open · 91% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$60.8K169 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded95Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$789
Snapshot cash PnL
−$585
Concentration
73.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
NoValue$577PnL−$181Avg23¢Current17.5¢3,297.2Shares
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YesValue$149PnL+$13Avg85¢Current93¢160Shares
Elon Bull Run Combo
NoValue$50PnL+$6Avg83¢Current94.2¢53.2Shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
YesValue$12PnL−$4Avg9.8¢Current7.5¢160Shares
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YesValue$0.61PnL−$0.29Avg1.7¢Current1.2¢53.2Shares
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YesValue$0.40PnL−$2Avg4.9¢Current0.8¢53.2Shares
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YesValue$0.08PnL−$4Avg7.6¢Current0.2¢53.2Shares
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YesValue$0.03PnL−$0.94Avg1.8¢Current0.1¢53.2Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wrongandstupid: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$887 lifetime P&L, $60.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.