PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Grodan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded9 open · 89% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded355Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−36.0% / $95% interval −830.0% to +758.1%10 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−36.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.9K
Concentration
72%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$241Avg14.5¢Current12¢9,518.02Shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$139PnL−$67Avg5.3¢Current3.6¢3,920.17Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$125PnL+$40Avg17¢Current25¢499.99Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$106PnL−$11Avg12.3¢Current11.2¢948.55Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$29PnL−$14Avg21.5¢Current14.5¢200Shares
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
YesValue$24PnL+$5Avg10¢Current12.5¢191.54Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$16PnL−$0.65Avg16.5¢Current15.9¢100Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$4PnL−$9Avg13¢Current4¢100Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Grodan: edge −36.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −830.0%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−36.0% over 10 fills); −$1.1K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-22.