PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

OneShoot

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$21KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.9%222 settled · past 180 days0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$559.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded221Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−57.1% / $95% interval −118.3% to +4.1%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−57.1%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.9% · Decided 222 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$38.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
89
Showing the largest 8 of 89
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$170Avg23.2¢Current731.92Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$495Avg16¢Current3,094Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$389Avg27.5¢Current1,415.43Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$44Avg37.8¢Current116.9Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$6Avg19¢Current33.74Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$101Avg7.1¢Current1,413.05Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$17AvgCurrent278.79Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$32Avg1.3¢Current2,459.1Shares
Showing 8 of 89 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet OneShoot: 46.9% win rate over 222 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −57.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −118.3%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−57.1% over 20 fills); −$21K lifetime P&L, $559.5K traded, updated 2026-09-20.