PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

alaskabaked

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$379.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.7%666 settled · past 90 days0 open · 12 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$14.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded828Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.9% / $95% interval −27.7% to +37.4%1,232 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.9%n=1,232 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.7% · Decided 666 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete12 minutes ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$926.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
158
Showing the largest 8 of 158
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg48.8¢Current0¢2,987.54Shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg58¢Current0¢4,205.6Shares
Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Krueger
Ashlyn Krueger · NoValue$0PnL−$11.2KAvg61.3¢Current0¢18,213.36Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$10.1KAvg51¢Current0¢19,887.61Shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · YesValue$0PnL−$11.6KAvg56.5¢Current0¢20,446.02Shares
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Rebecca Sramkova
Rebecca Sramkova · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg43¢Current0¢34.7Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$8.9KAvg59.7¢Current0¢14,973.37Shares
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)
Keys · YesValue$0PnL−$5.2KAvg65¢Current0¢7,999.88Shares
Showing 8 of 158 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 50.1¢
unavailable
$2.1K
BUYYES
Unknown · 25.5¢
unavailable
$1.3K

About this wallet

Wallet alaskabaked: 55.7% win rate over 666 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.7%, n=1,232 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.9% over 1,232 fills); −$379.1K lifetime P&L, $14.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.