PolyTrace
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Trader profile

rustin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$434.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.4%786 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$56.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded231Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.8% / $95% interval −385.5% to +355.8%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.8%n=58 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.4% · Decided 786 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$25.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$97Avg34¢Current0¢284Shares
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NoValue$0PnL−$102Avg38¢Current0¢268.57Shares
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Thomas Petersen · YesValue$0PnL−$8.7KAvg35.2¢Current0¢24,744.79Shares
Will Frederik Andersen win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
YesValue$0PnL−$8Avg3¢Current0¢265.42Shares
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$58Avg21.2¢Current0¢274.71Shares
UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Cody Gibson · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg16¢Current0¢14,999.8Shares
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Tyrell Fortune · NoValue$0PnL−$7KAvg24.8¢Current0¢28,320.79Shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$66Avg24¢Current0¢276.82Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rustin: 48.4% win rate over 786 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −14.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −385.5%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.8% over 58 fills); +$434.8K lifetime P&L, $56.3M traded, updated 2026-09-20.