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Trader profile

lumetea

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.5%292 settled · past 180 days0 open · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded620Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.9% / $95% interval −278.7% to +268.9%55 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.9%n=55 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.5% · Decided 292 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
MOUZ · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg89.7¢Current0¢1,524.69Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
FURIA · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg53¢Current0¢188.68Shares
Will Max Verstappen Win Max vs 100?
NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg18.9¢Current0¢530.38Shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
Astralis · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg48.8¢Current0¢204.8Shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
YesValue$0PnL−$550Avg65.8¢Current0¢835.97Shares
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.02Avg5¢Current0¢0.41Shares
Counter-Strike: ILLYRIANS vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
WW Team · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg49¢Current0¢204.18Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
FURIA · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg73¢Current0¢273.97Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lumetea: 69.5% win rate over 292 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −278.7%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.9% over 55 fills); +$4.7K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.