PolyTrace
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Trader profile

suraxy

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$51.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.3%1,606 settled · past 180 days12 open · 10% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded891Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+38.1% / $95% interval −53.0% to +129.2%279 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+35.1%n=119 settled
Sports
+25.1%n=136 settled
Finance
+14.7%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.3% · Decided 1,606 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$14.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.5K
Concentration
36.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$1.6KAvg46.5¢Current65.5¢8,263.23Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$514Avg76.8¢Current88.5¢4,400Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$678Avg23.5¢Current31.5¢8,457.91Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$785PnL+$204Avg13¢Current17.5¢4,484.28Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$708PnL−$167Avg9.3¢Current7.5¢9,444.08Shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
YesValue$412PnL+$112Avg48.5¢Current66.5¢619.05Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
NoValue$334PnL+$244Avg6¢Current22.4¢1,494.52Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
NoValue$246PnL−$150Avg7.2¢Current4.5¢5,521.17Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet suraxy: 35.3% win rate over 1,606 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +38.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −53.0%, n=279 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+35.1% over 119 fills); +$51.7K lifetime P&L, $14.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.