PolyTrace
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Trader profile

20sur20

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$375Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate41.7%108 settled · past 180 days9 open · 51% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded102Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.6% / $95% interval −43.9% to +36.7%44 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.6%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 41.7% · Decided 108 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$5.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$81
Concentration
66.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$1.6KAvg50¢Current84.5¢4,500Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$701PnL−$1.6KAvg50¢Current15.6¢4,506Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$700PnL+$0.68Avg51.2¢Current51.2¢1,366Shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$466PnL−$80Avg28.7¢Current24.5¢1,899.98Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$35PnL−$3Avg37.8¢Current34.5¢100Shares
Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?
YesValue$9PnL+$4Avg11¢Current20¢46.69Shares
Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?
NoValue$4PnL+$0.10Avg78¢Current80¢5Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$0.96PnL+$0.10Avg59¢Current65.5¢1.47Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 20sur20: 41.7% win rate over 108 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −43.9%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.6% over 44 fills); −$375 lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-20.