PolyTrace
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Trader profile

ZenBear

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$73Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet23 open · 33% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$308.2K910 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded209Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$3.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$437
Concentration
28.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
30
Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
NoValue$967PnL+$110Avg83.8¢Current94.5¢1,022.87Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$655PnL+$75Avg82.9¢Current93.5¢700.01Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$416PnL+$156Avg9.7¢Current15.5¢2,690.19Shares
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
YesValue$397PnL−$53Avg35.7¢Current31.5¢1,261.67Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$323PnL+$23Avg86¢Current92.5¢348.84Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$139PnL+$39Avg44.9¢Current62.5¢222.77Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$123PnL+$23Avg51¢Current62.5¢196.08Shares
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
YesValue$86PnL−$39Avg39.8¢Current27.5¢312.25Shares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ZenBear: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$73 lifetime P&L, $308.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.