PolyTrace
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Trader profile

2024

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate83.8%1,042 settled · past 180 days1 open · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded821Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.1% / $95% interval −210.9% to +196.7%45 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−5.0%n=12 settled
Sports
−6.1%n=33 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 83.8% · Decided 1,042 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$907
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.9K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$907PnL$0Avg96¢Current96¢945Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$104Avg50¢Current207.25Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$75Avg48.6¢Current153.21Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$45Avg51¢Current87.89Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$286Avg70¢Current408.58Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$96Avg48.7¢Current196.89Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$158Avg51¢Current310.65Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg90¢Current1,208.45Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 2024: 83.8% win rate over 1,042 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −210.9%, n=45 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−5.0% over 12 fills); +$2.8K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.