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Trader profile

Mr.Passenger

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 100% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded106Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.1% / $95% interval −388.5% to +308.4%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−40.1%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$286
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.6K
Concentration
94%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$269PnL−$3.6KAvg0.7¢Current0.1¢537,741.19Shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$14PnL−$62Avg0.3¢Current0.1¢28,834.47Shares
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YesValue$2PnL−$9Avg0.3¢Current0.1¢3,609.06Shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YesValue$0.93PnL−$0.93Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢1,868.43Shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
YesValue$0PnL−$45Avg11¢Current0¢409.09Shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg2.8¢Current0¢1,071.43Shares
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Jay Dylan Friend
Samir Hamza Reguig · YesValue$0PnL−$103Avg6.3¢Current0¢1,642.31Shares
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti
Marco Trungelliti · NoValue$0PnL−$395Avg3.3¢Current0¢11,798.97Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Mr.Passenger: edge −40.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −388.5%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−40.1% over 17 fills); −$2.9K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.