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Trader profile

Pythia

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$26.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…2 open · 100% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$986.8K797 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded253Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+22.6% / $95% interval −101.2% to +146.3%84 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+23.5%n=77 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$80.9K
Concentration
67.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
73
Showing the largest 8 of 73
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$508Avg40.6¢Current29.5¢4,584Shares
YesValue$661PnL−$76Avg31.6¢Current28.4¢2,330Shares
Celtics · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg64¢Current3,125Shares
PanathinaikosValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg67.5¢Current4,520.05Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$40Avg20¢Current200Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$7.4KAvg74¢Current10,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$199Avg35¢Current567.31Shares
RocketsValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg66.3¢Current4,418.09Shares
Showing 8 of 73 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Pythia: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +22.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −101.2%, n=84 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+23.5% over 77 fills); −$26.7K lifetime P&L, $986.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.