Trader profile

notlosecrypto

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 10% underwater · 8 hours ago

Lifetime volume$378.2K187 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded23Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded8 hours ago

Current position value: $4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL: +$207
Concentration: 53.3%
Positions: 8

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

YesValue$2.3KPnL+$1.9KAvg13¢Current77.1¢2,924.53Shares

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

YesValue$1.1KPnL+$113Avg63.9¢Current71.2¢1,566.27Shares

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

YesValue$780PnL−$220Avg20.5¢Current16¢4,873.17Shares

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

YesValue$83PnL+$13Avg16.6¢Current19.7¢421.29Shares

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

YesValue$0PnL−$0.60Avg0.8¢Current0¢79.07Shares

Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

YesValue$0PnL−$170Avg62¢Current0¢274.01Shares

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?

YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg31¢Current0¢967.74Shares

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg38.7¢Current0¢2,851.71Shares

All 8 positions shown

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

7 days ago

SELLNO

25 bps increase · 72.4¢

Bank of Japan Decision in October?Open market →$1.2K

8 days ago

SELLNO

25 bps increase · 83.4¢

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Open market →$2.4K

8 days ago

BUYNO

96¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Open market →$5.6K

9 days ago

BUYNO

25 bps decrease · 99.8¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Open market →$26.5K

16 days ago

BUYYES

4.8% · 95.6¢

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Open market →$1.6K

About this wallet

Wallet notlosecrypto: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$3K lifetime P&L, $378.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.