PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Snow-White

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.3%324 settled · past 180 days19 open · 57% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded867Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.4% / $95% interval −37.9% to +58.8%70 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+29.8%n=29 settled
Culture
−1.6%n=25 settled
Politics
−9.5%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.3% · Decided 324 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$19.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$49K
Concentration
25.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
248
Showing the largest 8 of 248
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$5KPnL+$3.5KAvg30.2¢Current98.6¢5,087.73Shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YesValue$5KPnL+$136Avg91¢Current93.5¢5,342.85Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$4.1KPnL+$2KAvg48¢Current93.5¢4,341.04Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$3.7KAvg18¢Current5.5¢29,830.17Shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?
YesValue$900PnL−$1.2KAvg10.3¢Current4.5¢20,000.09Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$871PnL+$332Avg50.1¢Current81¢1,075Shares
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesValue$796PnL−$199Avg20¢Current16¢4,977.06Shares
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesValue$754PnL+$754Avg0¢Current22.5¢3,350.55Shares
Showing 8 of 248 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Snow-White: 34.3% win rate over 324 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +10.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −37.9%, n=70 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+29.8% over 29 fills); +$6.8K lifetime P&L, $11.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.