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Trader profile

Numitus1994

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$19.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.9%5,898 settled · past 180 days4,999 open · 87% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$8.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,207Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.9% · Decided 5,898 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded1 hour ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$10.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.2K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
0.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,999
Showing the largest 8 of 4,999
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$101PnL−$27Avg7.9¢Current6.3¢1,608Shares
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
NoValue$44PnL−$10Avg4.9¢Current4¢1,092.76Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
YesValue$43PnL−$0.55Avg2.7¢Current2.7¢1,611.05Shares
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
YesValue$38PnL−$53Avg7.7¢Current3.2¢1,183.36Shares
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
YesValue$34PnL+$7Avg7.6¢Current9.5¢354.84Shares
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
NoValue$31PnL+$2Avg9.9¢Current10.8¢288.87Shares
Will Pablo Tellez reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
YesValue$30PnL+$21Avg9¢Current30¢101Shares
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$29PnL−$10Avg5.9¢Current4.5¢661.74Shares
Showing 8 of 4,999 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Numitus1994: 33.9% win rate over 5,898 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$19.6K lifetime P&L, $8.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.