Trader profile

Kaiyunman

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$28.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded452Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−7.3% / $95% interval −227.5% to +212.9%48 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: −7.3%n=48 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded1 day ago

Current position value: $0
Snapshot cash PnL: −$292.4K
Concentration: —
Positions: 213

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Solana Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

DownValue$0PnL−$100Avg14.2¢Current0¢703.45Shares

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

JD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg54¢Current0¢2,499.95Shares

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner

ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$637Avg51.4¢Current0¢1,239.82Shares

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

JD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$4.7KAvg53¢Current0¢8,891.36Shares

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Team WEValue$0PnL−$163Avg33.1¢Current0¢492.48Shares

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

FURIA · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg40¢Current0¢5,946.57Shares

LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg34.9¢Current0¢9,476.19Shares

Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5

YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg43¢Current0¢20Shares

Showing 8 of 213 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

29 days ago

SELLNO

Match Winner · 99.9¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AOpen market →$3.2K

29 days ago

BUYNO

Match Winner · 31¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AOpen market →$1K

29 days ago

SELLYES

Match Winner · 69¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AOpen market →$1.1K

29 days ago

SELLNO

Match Winner · 99.9¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AOpen market →$1.6K

1 month ago

SELLNO

Game 2 Winner · 99.9¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerOpen market →$4.9K

About this wallet

Wallet Kaiyunman: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −227.5%, n=48 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.3% over 48 fills); −$28.5K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.