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Trader profile

PotatoKotato

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$16.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…3 open · 94% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded264Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+23.3% / $95% interval −196.2% to +242.7%47 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+22.6%n=24 settled
Finance
−26.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$12.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$25.6K
Concentration
85.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$10.5KPnL−$3.9KAvg64¢Current46.5¢22,477.22Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$233Avg74¢Current89.5¢1,504.7Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$450PnL−$30Avg0.8¢Current0.8¢60,000Shares
Colts vs. Chiefs
Colts · YesValue$0PnL−$229Avg49¢Current0¢467.35Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$7.3KAvg13¢Current0¢56,374.23Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.5KAvg20¢Current0¢17,400.01Shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Movistar KOI · YesValue$0PnL−$432Avg43¢Current0¢1,004.12Shares
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner
100 Thieves · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg75¢Current0¢5Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PotatoKotato: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +23.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −196.2%, n=47 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+22.6% over 24 fills); +$16.5K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.