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Trader profile

Imbleciar

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$51.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 11 settled so far3 open · 100% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M826 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded33Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −56.8% to +24.6%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.9%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$20.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.2K
Concentration
63.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$12.8KPnL−$6.4KAvg51.7¢Current34.5¢36,999.95Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$7.3KPnL−$3.4KAvg52¢Current35.5¢20,672.74Shares
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
NoValue$60PnL−$60Avg18¢Current9¢663.86Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$609Avg21.1¢Current0¢2,884.19Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
NoValue$0PnL−$19.6KAvg21.4¢Current0¢91,486.96Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$96Avg19¢Current0¢503.38Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Imbleciar: edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −56.8%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.9% over 12 fills); +$51.5K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.