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Trader profile

kinderSman

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$151KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate92.4%225 settled · past 90 days19 open · 0% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded588Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.9% / $95% interval −14.5% to +20.2%167 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+13.8%n=24 settled
Politics
+1.2%n=36 settled
Crypto
+0.8%n=17 settled
Sports
−1.2%n=80 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 92.4% · Decided 225 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$29.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2K
Concentration
54.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$16.1KPnL+$255Avg98.4¢Current100¢16,125.54Shares
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$762Avg78.1¢Current99.1¢3,635.81Shares
NoValue$3KPnL+$47Avg98.3¢Current99.9¢3,000Shares
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$70Avg91¢Current94.5¢2,000Shares
NoValue$996PnL+$17Avg97.9¢Current99.6¢1,000Shares
NoValue$995PnL+$35Avg96¢Current99.5¢1,000Shares
NoValue$945PnL+$15Avg93¢Current94.5¢1,000Shares
NoValue$500PnL+$17Avg96.6¢Current100¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kinderSman: 92.4% win rate over 225 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +2.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −14.5%, n=167 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+13.8% over 24 fills); +$151K lifetime P&L, $8.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.