PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Relaccsed

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.2%1,755 settled · past 180 days32 open · 49% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,522Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−41.1% / $95% interval −331.9% to +249.6%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−39.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.2% · Decided 1,755 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$5.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$759
Concentration
39.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
40
Showing the largest 8 of 40
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$843Avg50¢Current79.4¢2,871.96Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
NoValue$676PnL+$61Avg90.5¢Current99.5¢680Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$593PnL−$843Avg50¢Current20.7¢2,871.96Shares
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$284PnL+$30Avg82.8¢Current92.4¢307.58Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$267PnL+$16Avg83.7¢Current89¢300Shares
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$238PnL+$42Avg70¢Current85¢280Shares
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$224PnL+$11Avg85¢Current89.5¢250Shares
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
NoValue$211PnL+$46Avg75¢Current95.9¢220Shares
Showing 8 of 40 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Relaccsed: 59.2% win rate over 1,755 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −41.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −331.9%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−39.0% over 20 fills); +$6.5K lifetime P&L, $3.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.