Last loaded4 days ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$42.4K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 24 Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
← Back to wallets
Trader profile
ARD21
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$25.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 12 days ago
Lifetime volume$191.9K93 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded60Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−42.3% / $95% interval −103.9% to +19.3%11 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −42.3%n=11 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 23 hours ago
How this record is measured
This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$3.7Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$5.7Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$5.2Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$7.8Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$5.4KAbout this wallet
Wallet ARD21: edge −42.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −103.9%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−42.3% over 11 fills); −$25.7K lifetime P&L, $191.9K traded, updated 2026-09-20.