PolyTrace
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Trader profile

megadarkparticle

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate7.6%6,222 settled · past 180 days27 open · 79% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$736.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,209Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 7.6% · Decided 6,222 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded5 days ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$1.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$38.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
23.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YesValue$413PnL−$28Avg8¢Current7.5¢5,500Shares
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
YesValue$216PnL+$9Avg77¢Current80.5¢268.38Shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$156PnL+$42Avg69.9¢Current95.5¢163.54Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YesValue$120PnL−$790Avg14¢Current1.9¢6,500Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$116PnL+$83Avg16.2¢Current56.7¢205.36Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
YesValue$105PnL+$25Avg70.1¢Current92¢114Shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
YesValue$102PnL+$82Avg17.9¢Current91.5¢112Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$87PnL−$23Avg53.8¢Current42.5¢205.36Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet megadarkparticle: 7.6% win rate over 6,222 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$10.7K lifetime P&L, $736.7K traded, updated 2026-09-22.