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Trader profile

Metusalem

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$15.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.7%624 settled · past 180 days58 open · 81% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded598Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.7% · Decided 624 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$12K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.8K
Concentration
17.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
77
Showing the largest 8 of 77
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$83Avg81.3¢Current84.5¢2,549.96Shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$113Avg92.4¢Current97.5¢2,200.13Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$849PnL−$617Avg37.1¢Current21.5¢3,950Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$682PnL+$43Avg88.6¢Current94.5¢721.25Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$656PnL−$175Avg75.5¢Current59.6¢1,100Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$525PnL−$599Avg37.5¢Current17.5¢2,999.98Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$474PnL+$77Avg83.7¢Current99.8¢475Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$374PnL+$70Avg76¢Current93.5¢400.1Shares
Showing 8 of 77 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Metusalem: 65.7% win rate over 624 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$15.5K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-20.