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Trader profile

KolmogorovDoob

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet13 open · 93% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3K17 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded15Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$154
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15
Concentration
61.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$94PnL−$9Avg8.8¢Current8.1¢1,171.07Shares
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$6PnL+$0.73Avg79¢Current90.5¢6.33Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5PnL+$0.04Avg62¢Current62.5¢8.06Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.03Avg84¢Current84.5¢5.95Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$5PnL−$0.02Avg99¢Current98.7¢5.05Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$5PnL−$0.03Avg98.1¢Current97.5¢5.1Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NoValue$5PnL−$0.03Avg93¢Current92.5¢5.38Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
NoValue$5PnL−$0.08Avg95¢Current93.6¢5.26Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet KolmogorovDoob: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$14 lifetime P&L, $1.3K traded, updated 2026-09-20.