PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0xa5d8…ff3a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$10.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76.2%21 settled · past 90 days5 open · 37% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$221.5K189 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded27Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.8% / $95% interval −36.0% to +26.4%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.6%n=12 settled
Finance
−7.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76.2% · Decided 21 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$13.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$480
Concentration
37.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YesValue$5.2KPnL+$900Avg68.2¢Current82.5¢6,286.72Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$175Avg89¢Current92.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$167Avg88¢Current97.1¢1,847.83Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$600Avg49.5¢Current34.5¢3,999.97Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$769PnL−$133Avg17¢Current14.5¢5,301.59Shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
NoValue$0PnL−$30Avg22.5¢Current0¢131.47Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xa5d833a23bc19b7d38adcbee7c117a8f421eff3a: 76.2% win rate over 21 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −36.0%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.6% over 12 fills); +$10.7K lifetime P&L, $221.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.