PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Prexpect

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$132.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate22.8%681 settled · past 90 days62 open · 34% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded642Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.0% / $95% interval −339.2% to +315.2%39 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−12.8%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 22.8% · Decided 681 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$9.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$915
Concentration
16.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$1.5KAvg2¢Current50.5¢3,000Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$47Avg92.8¢Current96.8¢1,199.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$814PnL+$719Avg2.9¢Current25.5¢3,191.25Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$779PnL+$560Avg7.4¢Current26.5¢2,939.27Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$705PnL+$645Avg2¢Current23.5¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$574PnL+$504Avg2.3¢Current18.5¢3,100Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$564PnL+$44Avg69.6¢Current75.5¢747.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$521PnL+$435Avg2.9¢Current17.5¢2,976.84Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Prexpect: 22.8% win rate over 681 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −339.2%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−12.8% over 36 fills); +$132.7K lifetime P&L, $23.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.