PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Hull

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.6%787 settled · past 180 days13 open · 58% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded976Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.6% · Decided 787 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$238
Concentration
23.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
NoValue$980PnL+$13Avg96¢Current97.4¢1,006.64Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$933PnL+$184Avg74.2¢Current92.5¢1,008.34Shares
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$565PnL+$0.66Avg88.4¢Current88.5¢637.92Shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
YesValue$487PnL+$33Avg84.9¢Current91¢535Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$360PnL+$21Avg77.7¢Current82.5¢436.49Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$233PnL−$255Avg15.7¢Current7.5¢3,099.97Shares
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
NoValue$193PnL+$58Avg57.4¢Current82¢235.16Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$188PnL−$192Avg15.2¢Current7.5¢2,499.96Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Hull: 57.6% win rate over 787 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$13.5K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.